A Permanent Peace Between Israel and Palestine? We have Seen This Pattern – The Result Was Increased Conflict
So, which time period are we in? A US president, subsequent to lengthy of implicit backing, has finally intervened to halt an Israeli military offensive that has turned swaths of a urban center in the region to rubble, leaving numerous individuals killed and generating international condemnation.
The offensive has been preceded by a series of strikes on Israel. Now, under pressure from American leadership, the prime minister of Israel, a conservative politician with an aptitude for populist rhetoric and a deep conviction of historical Jewish national duty, has approved a halt in hostilities.
Historical Comparisons
The year is not present day, but the early 1980s. The city is not the Gaza Strip, but Beirut, Lebanon. The US leader is Ronald Reagan, not today's leadership.
There are numerous variations between what happened in Lebanon more than four decades ago and recent developments in Palestinian territories in the past two years. The Hamas raid of last year, which caused over a thousand and involved 250 seized, differs significantly with the comparatively limited actions of the Palestine Liberation Organization in the year or so before the Israeli incursion of Lebanon.
Striking Parallels
Certain parallels are striking. Reagan finally made the call the Israeli leader, informing him that what was happening in the city was "a holocaust" and indicating the diplomatic ties between their states could be seriously harmed if the violence carried on.
In 1982, comparable to present circumstances, the conflict unfolded in immediate coverage on global media. Numerous correspondents traveled to the capital to report on for the initial instance an Middle Eastern conflict without media restrictions by any party.
Aftermath and Consequences
The situation following the communication from Reagan and the halt in fighting in the city is revealing. The PLO, its divisions and representatives were scattered across thousands of miles and a various states.
Washington then withdrew US-led peacekeepers – an infringement of the arrangement with the Palestinian leader. The Lebanese president, the nation's newly elected leader and Israel's chosen ally, was killed by Damascus operatives.
Middle Eastern Changes
Similar patterns emerged across the rest of the region. By the late seventies, the predominantly worldly and progressive ideas that had seemed to offer the hope of a new future in the regional countries years before were weakened.
The outcomes of this were quickly apparent, in short order
In various nations, Israel and the US now faced enemies who were much more stubborn, lethal and efficient than the leftists and patriotic organizations of earlier years.
International Reaction
Among Western nations, the outcomes of this were counterintuitive. During the seventies, international experts and policymakers had sought to understand what led to violent extremism.
Afterward, in the beginning of that decade, this ended. Political leaders in the US, the UK and elsewhere were no longer interested in "root causes" of violence.
Modern Parallels
Recently, accounts show that today's officials told the nation's leadership that the country could not confront global opinion and recognized national hopes for a sovereign entity.
This too was an echo of that earlier period. In the consequence of the armed entry of that nation, previous leadership told Israel that the capability of its military alone could not "achieve just and lasting peace" and acknowledged "legitimate rights of the Arab residents."
However a US-led comprehensive agreement supposed to address those concerns stalled completely. Abroad, political figures watched powerlessly.
Worldwide concern in the region diminished. Israel rejected accommodations. Afterward, there was the major unrest, and the establishment of new resistance movements.
- The repetitions of history present sobering insights for present-day resolution attempts
- Lasting solutions require dealing with root causes rather than temporary ceasefires
- Area politics continue to change in complex and often unpredictable ways